IGRM

India Geopolitical Risk Monitor

Daily press-salience of geopolitical risk for India, decomposed by channel. Not a measure of risk itself, and not investment advice. Final numbers by 6:00 AM IST; provisional nowcast every two hours.

Composite · 2026-08-03

59.3

▼ -13.6 vs yesterday

History

This week's note

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Episode archive

Days where a channel's coverage volume exceeded its 90-day mean by two standard deviations, clustered into episodes. Click through for that episode's market context.

StartEndChannelPeakDays
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Event study

Mean cumulative India-specific relative return after episode starts, bootstrapped 95% CIs, windows in trading days. Association, not causation.

ChannelOutcome+1d+5d+20dn
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